August 6

Jobs Tank, Gold Rallies: What Smart Money Knows That You Don’t

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Why America’s Weak Labor Market is Fueling a Gold Rush

As President Trump’s second term enters its ninth month, the latest economic data has sent shockwaves through Washington and Wall Street. July’s jobs report wasn’t just weak—it was a flashing red light. And gold responded exactly as seasoned investors expected: it soared.

The U.S. economy added just 73,000 jobs in July—missing expectations by a wide margin. Even more troubling, the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2%, the highest since mid-2024. But the real kicker came in the form of revised data, which erased 258,000 jobs from the previous two months. These aren’t just statistical adjustments—they’re confirmation that the so-called “resilient labor market” is cracking under pressure.

And while legacy media outlets scramble to spin this as a “cooling,” investors aren’t buying it. Instead, they’re buying gold.

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The Fed’s Corner: Rate Cuts Incoming

The Federal Reserve is now staring down a bleak reality. Labor force participation dropped to 62.2%, its lowest level in three years. Broader unemployment, which includes discouraged and underemployed workers, hit 7.9%. Translation? The American worker is hurting.

Before this jobs report, Wall Street assigned a 40% chance of a Fed rate cut in September. After the report, that number rocketed to 85%. And many analysts now expect multiple cuts by year’s end.

The pressure is on. Trump’s new tariffs—designed to defend American industries and restore leverage on the global stage—are raising short-term inflation and disrupting legacy supply chains. Combine that with a slowing job market, and the Fed is boxed in. Rate cuts are the only politically palatable option left.

Gold Explodes Higher—And It’s No Coincidence

The market’s response was swift and unambiguous. Gold surged $48 in a matter of hours, trading above $3,397/oz and eyeing technical resistance levels not seen since its July high of $3,509. Meanwhile, the dollar slid, bond yields dropped, and stock markets wavered, despite the S&P 500 recently touching new highs.

Why gold? Because gold doesn’t lie.

Unlike fiat currencies, gold doesn’t rely on confidence in the government or faith in Federal Reserve policy. It holds value when trust erodes—and right now, trust is in short supply.

5 Reasons Gold Is Surging:

  1. Economic Fear – Rising unemployment rattles consumer and investor confidence. Gold is a timeless safe haven.
  2. Rate Cut Expectations – Lower rates weaken the dollar and boost gold’s relative appeal.
  3. Dollar Decline – A weaker greenback makes gold more attractive to global buyers.
  4. Market Hedging – Smart money is rotating out of stocks and into hard assets.
  5. Retail and Global Demand – Coin and bar sales are near decade highs, while global ETF inflows surge.

According to the World Gold Council, investment demand rose 78% year-over-year last quarter. China’s gold demand alone rose 44%. Meanwhile, U.S. retail buyers are purchasing physical gold at a pace not seen since 2013.

Related: Ray Dalio Warns - Why 15% of Your Portfolio Should Hold Gold or Bitcoin

Hedge Funds Are Quietly Getting Out of Stocks

Don’t be fooled by record stock index levels. Behind the scenes, hedge funds are selling, trimming exposure to tech and media at the fastest pace in over a year. As Bloomberg reported, “the smart money is pulling back.” They’re not waiting around for a Fed pivot. They’re already positioning for what’s next.

Trump’s Tariffs Stoke Inflation—and Gold Benefits

On top of the labor market concerns, President Trump’s new tariffs—announced late Thursday—will impact dozens of countries. The average U.S. tariff rate will climb to 15.2%, up from 13.3%. While these measures protect American jobs and industries, they also add inflationary pressure—a key ingredient for gold’s continued rally.

Unlike Treasuries or savings accounts, gold doesn’t lose purchasing power during inflationary spikes. And unlike equities, it’s not dependent on corporate earnings or government stimulus.

Technical Picture: Bullish Momentum

From a technical standpoint, gold has regained strong momentum. Bulls are now targeting a breakout above $3,509, while support levels hold near $3,300. The Wyckoff Market Rating for gold sits at 6.5—indicating a solid near-term advantage for buyers.

Silver is also holding firm, trading just below $38/oz, with upside potential if industrial metals stabilize.

What It Means for Savers and Investors

It’s a critical moment for anyone with a 401(k), IRA, or traditional savings portfolio. With unemployment rising, productivity slipping, and new tariffs adding inflationary pressure, dollar-based assets are facing mounting risks to long-term value.

Now more than ever, Americans are turning to Gold IRAs to protect their retirement savings. Physical gold stored in a tax-advantaged account provides a hedge against both market volatility and dollar debasement.

Related: Gold IRA Buyback Program - What You Need to Know Before Choosing a Gold Dealer

The Fed Can’t Fix This

The bottom line is simple: the Fed can’t print jobs, and it can’t reverse the damage done by years of reckless spending, bloated entitlements, and misguided economic policy. But you can take steps to protect your financial future.

With gold on the rise and trust in institutions at a low point, the message is clear: When jobs disappear and the dollar weakens, gold doesn’t just survive—it thrives.

Thinking about diversifying your savings with gold?
Learn how to roll over part of your retirement savings into physical gold. Many top rated precious metals companies offer free gold kits that explain how the process works—and why it’s never been more urgent.

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About the author 

Steve Walton

Steve Walton is a financial writer, gold advocate, and cryptocurrency enthusiast with more than a decade of experience ghostwriting for leading financial publications across the web. He is the founder of SDIRAGuide.com, where he helps Americans understand and diversify into alternative assets such as gold, silver, and bitcoin.

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